In a political twist few expected, new internal data shows that far-left Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez outperformed California Gov. Gavin Newsom and former President Barack Obama in the state’s high-stakes Proposition 50 redistricting campaign. The findings come from Future Forward, the Democrats’ chief super PAC, and reveal a dramatic shift inside the party—and a growing warning sign for Americans concerned about one-party control in states like California.
AOC’s Ad Shockingly Dominates California Democrats
According to a private report reviewed by Axios, AOC’s ad was the top-performing spot among 16 pro-Prop 50 messages tested. Her video beat out Gavin Newsom—California’s most visible cheerleader for the measure—and even surpassed Barack Obama, who remains one of the party’s biggest national figures.
In a detailed October 21 email, Future Forward’s data chief, Aaron Strauss, told Democrat strategists that AOC’s spot was the “clear winner,” boosting support for the controversial ballot measure by 5.1 percentage points, outperforming Obama’s second-place ad.
Other Democrat figures—including Sen. Alex Padilla and Rep. Jasmine Crockett—failed to move voters as effectively.
This unexpected ranking highlights just how influential AOC’s increasingly aggressive political brand has become, even in a state dominated by liberal politics.
AOC Targets President Trump Directly in Her Message
A major part of AOC’s appeal inside the Democratic base appears to be her willingness to go straight after President Donald Trump.
In her top-performing ad, she accuses Trump of “redrawing election maps” to secure congressional power and claims that blocking him is essential to protecting Democrat priorities on healthcare, paychecks, and “freedoms.”
Her team rolled out both English and Spanish versions, focusing heavily on online platforms where progressive activists are most active.
The strong performance of the ad underscores how Democrats continue to use Trump’s name—not their own policies—to energize their base.
Prop 50: A Massive Democrat Power Grab Under the Radar
Proposition 50, which California voters approved by a wide margin earlier this month, fundamentally changes how the state draws congressional districts.
Instead of an independent, voter-approved redistricting commission, Prop 50 hands full map-drawing control back to Democrat legislators for the rest of the decade—allowing them to reshape congressional lines to lock in more House seats.
Nonpartisan analysts have already described the new map as an “aggressive Democratic gerrymander” specifically designed to target Republican-held districts and cement Democrat dominance.
Legal challenges are already underway.
California Republicans, GOP groups, and now the Trump administration’s Justice Department argue that Prop 50 disregards voters’ rights and improperly uses racial data to engineer safe Democrat districts.
This new lawsuit marks one of the most significant federal challenges to California’s political machine in years.
AOC’s Rising National Profile: A 2028 Preview?
Behind the scenes, Ocasio-Cortez’s team has been preparing her for a potential 2028 presidential or U.S. Senate bid. The revelation that her ad outperformed both Newsom and Obama—even in Newsom’s home territory—adds fuel to growing speculation.
California carries more Democratic primary delegates than any other state and accounted for nearly 10% of the party’s total in 2024. If AOC can move voters there, she becomes a legitimate threat to the party establishment.
Future Forward’s results suggest that AOC’s influence extends much further than Washington insiders would like to admit.
Newsom Allies Try to Downplay the Embarrassment
Gavin Newsom’s team immediately dismissed the internal rankings, claiming the governor was simply “grateful” for party support. But for many observers—especially conservatives concerned about rising progressive power—the numbers tell a very different story.
The real takeaway is clear: Even in deep-blue California, AOC’s progressive messaging now carries more weight than the Democrat establishment’s biggest names.
And as Democrats prepare for 2028, this shift could dramatically reshape the party—and the country.
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